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Golden Globes 2020: Netflix, HBO Poised To Win Big

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Will Netflix conquer film as deftly as it has television? Kicking off this year’s awards season, tomorrow night’s 77th Annual Golden Globes will be the first big test. With Martin Scorsese’s The Irishman and Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story in contention for Best Drama, the streamer has a better-than-average shot. 

While the Golden Globes set the tone for the rest of awards season, the television side trails the Emmys. Expect another win for Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s universally beloved second season of Fleabag. However, with Game of Thrones’ final season (rightfully) snubbed from the Best Drama category, we could be in for a surprise. And, the Hollywood Foreign Press Association loves nothing more than to keep the industry on its toes.

As for films in the running, Netflix has three of the five up for Best Drama, the category many consider the biggest accolade of the night. So, will the streamer come out on top? The odds are very good.

BEST MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA

The Irishman

Marriage Story

1917

Joker

The Two Popes

Originally, The Irishman was thought to be a shoo-in with its star-studded cast, which includes Robert De Niro, Joe Pesci and Al Pacino. Netflix certainly put money into this one with a reported budget of over $140 million.

However, The Irishman could be defeated by Netflix’s other contender, Marriage Story, which has gotten not only rave reviews, but garnered the most nominations with a total of six.

Frontrunner: The Irishman

Dark Horse: Marriage Story

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA

Cynthia Erivo - Harriet

Scarlett Johansson - Marriage Story

Saoirse Ronan - Little Women

Charlize Theron - Bombshell

Renée Zellweger – Judy

Early bets were certainly on Zellweger for her strong portrayal of Judy Garland but again, Noah Baumbach’s Marriage Story came out strong to such critical praise that it won’t be a shocker if Johansson swoops in and grabs the win.

Frontrunner: Zellweger

Dark Horse: Johansson

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE, DRAMA

Christian Bale - Ford v Ferrari

Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory

Adam Driver - Marriage Story

Joaquin Phoenix - Joker

Jonathan Pryce - The Two Popes

This will likely be between Driver and Phoenix, both incredible actors. Driver has proven himself a worthy adversary to Phoenix but again, Marriage Story was a shocker that came out without a lot of fanfare and blew critics and fans away with some of the most compelling performances of the year. Phoenix, however, has been nominated six times with a Golden Globe win for Walk the Line and he’s received a lot of praise for his performance in Joker. This might be the hardest one to predict and truly both deserve the win but if I were a betting woman, my money would be on Driver.

Frontrunner: Driver

Dark Horse: Phoenix

BEST MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Dolemite Is My Name

Jojo Rabbit

Knives Out

Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood

Rocketman

Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood is the favorite. This star-studded affair with Brad Pitt, Leonardo DiCaprio and Margot Robbie is tailor made for the Golden Globes. Then again, the HFPA loves a good rock n’ roll biopic.

Frontrunner: Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood

Dark Horse: Rocketman

BEST ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Ana de Armas - Knives Out

Awkwafina - The Farewell

Cate Blanchett - Where’d You Go, Bernadette

Beanie Feldstein - Booksmart

Emma Thompson - Late Night

There’s been some serious Oscar buzz swirling around Awkwafina for her stellar performance in The Farewell and despite of (or perhaps thanks to?) her snub by the Screen Actors Guild, she could walk away with the award. A possible surprise? Feldstein, who won acclaim for her turn in Olivia Wilde’s Booksmart.

Frontrunner: Awkwafina

Dark Horse: Feldstein

BEST ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Daniel Craig - Knives Out

Roman Griffin Davis - Jojo Rabbit

Leonardo DiCaprio - Once Upon a Time … in Hollywood

Taron Egerton - Rocketman

Eddie Murphy - Dolemite Is My Name

The HFPA loves Leo – they have nominated him 11 times before, and awarded him the Globe three times. Still, Dolemite has been hailed as Eddie Murphy’s comeback and Egerton’s star-turning portrayal of Elton John has had everyone in Hollywood talking. This category is looking like the biggest toss-up of the night.

Frontrunner: DiCaprio

Dark Horse: Egerton

BEST MOTION PICTURE, FOREIGN LANGUAGE

The Farewell (USA)

Les Misérables (France)

Pain and Glory (Spain)

Parasite (South Korea)

Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)

Rarely is there a foreign film that gets as much buzz as Parasite has. If it does not snag this award, it will be one of the biggest shocks of the evening. Even so, The Farewell stands a chance.

Frontrunner:  Parasite

Dark Horse: The Farewell

As for the television side, I think we can all agree TV has never been better. Which series will win the night?

BEST TELEVISION SERIES, DRAMA

Big Little Lies - HBO

The Crown - Netflix

Killing Eve - BBC America

The Morning Show - Apple TV+

Succession – HBO

Even with Game of Thrones out of the picture, HBO could still walk away with the best drama series. Succession was by far the buzziest of the nominated shows, and deservedly won praise from audiences and critics alike. Don’t sleep on The Crown, though — it took home the award in 2017 and could reign again.

Frontrunner: Succession

Dark Horse: The Crown

BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES, DRAMA

Jennifer Aniston - The Morning Show

Olivia Colman - The Crown

Jodie Comer - Killing Eve

Nicole Kidman - Big Little Lies

Reese Witherspoon - The Morning Show

Despite The Morning Show’s mixed reviews, Aniston’s performance was a standout. She is by and large considered to be the favorite. Still, she is up against her royal highness Olivia Colman, who can do no wrong.

Frontrunner: Aniston

Dark Horse: Colman

BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES, DRAMA

Brian Cox - Succession

Kit Harington - Game of Thrones

Rami Malek - Mr. Robot

Tobias Menzies - The Crown

Billy Porter – Pose

This will be a tight battle between Porter, who won the Emmy for his critically lauded role in Pose, and Cox. With Succession likely to run off with best series, Cox gets the edge.

Frontrunner: Cox

Dark Horse: Porter

BEST TELEVISION SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Barry - HBO

Fleabag - Prime Video

The Kominsky Method - Netflix

The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel – Amazon Prime Video

The Politician – Netflix

It’s going to be Fleabag. In the unlikely event that it’s not, Amazon still wins with The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, which took home the award in 2018.

Frontrunner: Fleabag

Dark Horse: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

BEST ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Christina Applegate - Dead To Me

Rachel Brosnahan - The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel

Kirsten Dunst - On Becoming A God In Central Florida

Natasha Lyonne - Russian Doll

Phoebe Waller-Bridge – Fleabag

See above. Both Fleabag and Maisel are so dependent on their lead actresses’ (stellar) performances, the actress category will likely mirror the series category.

Frontrunner: Waller-Bridge

Dark Horse: Brosnahan

BEST ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES, MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Michael Douglas - The Kominsky Method

Bill Hader - Barry

Ben Platt - The Politician

Paul Rudd - Living With Yourself

Ramy Youssef – Ramy

While Barry may not get the love it deserves from the HFPA, Hader likely will. However, Ramy Youssef, the creator and star of Hulu’s Ramy, could pull a surprise win. His show’s debut season got top review, and although it did not get a best series nomination, the HFPA has awarded buzzy, young showrunners in the past (see: Lena Dunham in 2013).

Frontrunner: Hader

Dark Horse: Youssef

We will have to wait and see who takes home the gold. The three-hour telecast, hosted by Ricky Gervais, will air live on NBC Sunday, January 5 at 8:00 p.m. EST/5:00 p.m. PST.

Here is a full list of nominees.  

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