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What Polls Say About Trump’s Impeachment and Possible Removal
Clear majorities of Americans believe the president is responsible for the riot at the Capitol last week, but support for impeaching and removing him is not as widespread, polls suggest.
Americans are on high alert as the country seeks to regain its balance after the mob attack on the Capitol last week, according to a range of polls released in recent days that reveal a nation frustrated by the president’s actions and unsure of what comes next.
Three in four respondents to a nationwide CBS News/YouGov poll released Wednesday said it was at least somewhat likely that attempted violence could occur at President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s inauguration ceremony, which will take place on the Capitol steps just two weeks after armed extremists stormed the building.
A Quinnipiac University survey released this week found that 70 percent of voters expressed concern for the safety of elected officials in the country.
Clear majorities in those and other nationwide polls said President Trump bore the blame for the rioting at the Capitol last week, and his approval ratings have fallen to historic lows in his final days in office. But support for impeaching and removing him is not as widespread, although some polls do show a slim majority of the country backing it.
House Democrats, with the support of some Republicans, voted to impeach the president on Wednesday, the first time in history that a president has been impeached twice.
The CBS poll found 55 percent of Americans favoring his impeachment, and another survey out this week from Politico and Morning Consult showed 53 percent of voters supporting it. The Quinnipiac poll (conducted by phone, unlike the online-based CBS and Politico polls) found 52 percent of voters supporting the president’s removal from office.
Survey researchers of all methodologies went through a tough 2020, with polling systematically underestimating Mr. Trump’s support for the second time in two presidential elections. Pollsters haven’t conclusively determined what caused the failures, so it can be hard to be sure that support for Mr. Trump isn’t actually a few points stronger across the board.
But it is potentially more useful to watch for trends over time, which is more like comparing apples to apples. From this point of view, the public appears to be slightly — but meaningfully — more receptive to the idea of impeaching the president than it was at this time last year, when Democrats’ efforts to remove the president from office divided the country almost down the middle.
At that time, close to half of voters said they thought Democrats were pushing to remove the president for political reasons, and doubted that the charges against Mr. Trump were worth impeaching him for.
This time, the country is more broadly in agreement on the dire nature of what Mr. Trump has been accused of. Roughly six in 10 Americans said in the CBS poll that they thought the president had encouraged violence at the Capitol. A PBS NewsHour/Marist College survey conducted by phone on the day after the attack found 63 percent of the country saying the president bore considerable blame for the chaos.
The effects on Mr. Trump’s approval numbers have been severe. In all recent polls, his job approval is in the mid- to high 30s, with roughly three in five Americans disapproving of his performance.
While his unwavering support from about a third of the electorate has saved Mr. Trump from dipping into the 20s, where Richard M. Nixon and George W. Bush both were near the end of their presidencies, the latest numbers reflect his diminished support across the board, including among Republicans; his job approval among members of his own party, once almost universal, has dipped into the 70s.
Ed Goeas, a longtime Republican pollster, said that in recent weeks, Mr. Trump had scared away many of the last traditional-leaning, conservative G.O.P. voters who had remained in his corner.
“They’re the ones who have kind of moved to ‘This is just not true’ about what happened with the election being stolen,” Mr. Goeas said. “And then they see the events of last Wednesday, and I think they’re concerned.”
He added: “I think there’s a great deal of concern out there for what happens over the next eight days. What you’re going to see is the reality of: We now have more troops in D.C. than we have in Afghanistan. Kind of hard to miss.”
Our Coverage of the Capitol Riot and its Fallout
The Events on Jan. 6
Timeline: On Jan. 6, 2021, a mob of supporters of President Donald Trump raided the U.S. Capitol. Here is a close look at how the attack unfolded.
A Day of Rage: Using thousands of videos and police radio communications, a New York Times investigation reconstructed in detail what happened — and why.
Lost Lives: A bipartisan Senate report found that at least seven people died in connection with the attack.
Jan. 6 Attendees: To many of those who attended the Trump rally but never breached the Capitol, Jan. 6 wasn’t a dark day for the nation. It was a new start.
The Federal Case Against Trump
The Indictment: Trump was indicted on Aug. 1 after a sprawling federal investigation into his attempts to cling to power after losing the 2020 election. Here is how the indictment was structured.
Trump’s Immunity Claim: The Supreme Court has agreed to decide whether Trump is immune from prosecution on charges of plotting to overturn the 2020 election. The justices scheduled arguments for the week of April 22.
The Trial: In February, the federal judge in the case decided to delay the trial, which was set to start on March 4. In doing so, she acknowledged that time had run out to get the proceeding going, mostly because of the wrangling over Trump’s immunity claim.
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